22 Oct 2014

New Poll Gives Republicans Eight Point Lead in Generic Ballot Due to Low Democratic Turnout

The news for Democrats is not looking good. The latest AP-GfK poll found Republicans with an eight point lead in the generic ballot among likely voters. This is the largest lead for Republicans in any generic ballot poll this year. If the election was held today 32 percent of likely

21 Oct 2014

For Conservatives It Is all About Fox News

The number of places conservatives in this country get their news is remarkably narrow and consists mainly of Fox News, and to a small degree talk radio. From Pew: In addition, while Liberals and Mixed tend to trust all the other major news networks (CNN, ABC News, NBC News and

17 Oct 2014

Hating the Other Party Really Drives Turnout

Hate is a great motivator in American politics. The more regular voters dislike the opposing political party, the more likely they are to actually vote. According to Pew Research, 49 percent of Republicans or Republican-leaning voters are likely to vote this year; but among those who hold a very unfavorable view

17 Oct 2014

People of Kentucky Apparently Just Realized They’ve Been Voting Republican for Decades

This chart shows why the DSCC’s decision to pull out of the Kentucky Senate race was inevitable for months. From Gallup: Remarkably, until just last year a plurality of people in Kentucky considered themselves leaning-Democrat even though they have not supported a Democrat for President or Senate in roughly two

16 Oct 2014

Many Americans Are Weirdly Indifferent About How the Federal Government Is Controlled

This is a poll answer that has always confused me. Apparently a plurality of Americans, 37 percent, still thinks it makes no difference if the federal government is controlled by one party or is divided. From Gallup: I find this so perplexing because I don’t know how you could have

15 Oct 2014

Democrats’ Engagement Problem

Polling shows Democrats lead Republicans for control of Congress with registered voters but not with likely voters.

15 Oct 2014

Georgia Poll is one Bright Spot in a Day of Bad News for Democrats

The good news today for democrats is that Michelle Nunn has taken a lead in the latest SurveyUSA poll of the Georgia Senate race. Among likely voters she is getting 48 percent, Republican David Perdue is at 45 percent, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford stands at three percent. This is a

13 Oct 2014

Republicans Have Edge on Most Big Issues

The bad news for Democrats keeps coming. New data from Gallup shows the Republican party has the advantage among the issues voters care most about this year.

10 Oct 2014

How You Know Your Political Brand Has Problems

A sure sign your political brand has real problems is when your plan for victory heavily relies on candidates who are actively choosing not to associate with you, and benefit because of that decision. That is the case with the Democratic party this year in their attempt to hold on

09 Oct 2014

Polling Improves for Sen. Pat Roberts

Kansas seems to be returning to its red roots. For a while it looked like Incumbent Kansas Senator Pat Roberts was going to lose to Independent Greg Orman, but as we get closer to the election Roberts has seen his polling start to turn around. Two new polls both find