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Final Polls Say Medical Marijuana Amendment in Florida Might Come Just Short

The final set of polls in Florida indicate the medical marijuana measure might fail. All show Amendment 2, Use of Marijuana for Certain Medical Conditions, probably won’t get enough support to be approved. While the measure will likely be supported by a majority of voters, under Florida law any amendment on the ballot needs get at least 60 percent of the vote to be approved.

The worst result is from the Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/UF Graham Center poll. It found 46 percent of likely voters planning to vote for Amendment 2 and 43 percent planning to vote against it.

The PPP poll found the measure will win majority support but be below the threshold needed for victory. Their final poll had the ballot measure getting support from 53 percent of likely voters with 41 percent planning to vote against it. The remaining 6 percent are undecided. Even if all the undecideds in this poll voted for the measure, it would still come up just short of 60 percent.

The most promising final poll was from the Florida Chamber of Commerce Political Institute, but even that found the measure with 55 percent support to 40 percent opposed. Again just short of the very high threshold needed.

Even if the amendment loses the people behind the campaign promise to keep fighting. John Morgan, the main donor behind the measure, promised to try again in 2016 if medical marijuana falls just short on Tuesday. The better youth turnout during a Presidential election alone should increase support for any marijuana reform effort by a few percentage points.

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Jane Hamsher

Jane Hamsher

Jane is the founder of Firedoglake.com. Her work has also appeared on the Huffington Post, Alternet and The American Prospect. She’s the author of the best selling book Killer Instinct and has produced such films Natural Born Killers and Permanent Midnight. She lives in Washington DC.
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