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A Week Out, Things Are Looking Bad for Democrats

The election indicators are looking bad for Democrats. The only real solace for them is they are at least not historically bad. According to Gallup, Democrats hold only a small affiliation edge among adults, which normally translates into a big loss because the people who actually turn out to vote in a midterm election tend to be significantly more conservative than the population as a whole. From Gallup:

Democratic Advantage Among U.S. General Population, and how that translates in actual midterm election results

The divide this year is not as bad as 2010, but given that was a historically bad year for Democrats this is not much of an accomplishment.

There is also a chance that the GOP’s midterm turnout advantage will be larger this year than any previous election. The Democratic based skews much younger this year than it has been in the past, and younger voters are less reliable.

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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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