Things Are Not Looking Good for Democrats
We are now entering the final stretch of the election and things continue to look bad for the Democratic Party. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll is just about all bad news for the Democrats.
The big number is the generic ballot. Among likely voters, 50 percent prefer the Republican party while only 44 percent prefer the Democratic party.
In addition, we see that President Obama’s job approval rating remains very bad. Only 42 percent of likely voters approve of how he is handling his job, while 56 percent disapprove.
Finally, political engagement is way down significantly this year. During the last midterm, 76 percent of registered voters said they were following the election closely, but only 68 percent are closely following it this year. This is likely also bad news for the Democratic party because their coalition is made up of much younger and less reliable voters than the GOP base. Low turnout tends to help Republicans.
Combined with a very unfavorable Senate map, it is not surprising that most indicators point to Democrats losing the Senate.
Photo by maiallen under Creative Commons license