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Medical Marijuana Might Be in Trouble in Florida

Efforts to to make Florida the first Southern state with a functioning medical marijuana system might fall short according to a new SurveyUSA poll for WFLA-TV.

The poll found Amendment 2, the Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative, receiving 51 percent support among likely voters. It is opposed by 33 percent and the remaining 15 percent say they are still undecided on the measure.

Almost anywhere else this would be a good poll result but thanks to Florida’s unusual rules any amendment on the ballot needs to get supermajority of over 60 percent to be adopted. If the undecided vote splits evenly that would put Amendment 2 at 58.5 percent, which is just under the threshold.

Other recent polling which pushed voters harder to take a position and had fewer undecideds also found the measure sitting right the threshold for approval.

I suspect that the internal polling by the opposition campaign also show the race very close given that they were able to convince Sheldon Adelson to donate another $1.5 million against medical marijuana in Florida. Normally, people don’t write big checks to a campaign unless they think the money can potentially make a difference.

CommunityJust Say Now

Medical Marijuana Might be in Trouble in Florida

Efforts to to make Florida the first Southern state with a functioning medical marijuana system might fall short according to a new SurveyUSA poll for WFLA-TV.

The poll found Amendment 2, the Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative, receiving 51 percent support among likely voters. It is opposed by 33 percent and the remaining 15 percent say they are still undecided on the measure.

Almost anywhere else this would be a good poll result but thanks to Florida’s unusual rules any amendment on the ballot needs to get supermajority of over 60 percent to be adopted. If the undecided vote splits evenly that would put Amendment 2 at 58.5 percent, which is just under the threshold.

Other recent polling which pushed voters harder to take a position and had fewer undecideds also found the measure sitting right the threshold for approval.

I suspect that the internal polling by the opposition campaign also show the race very close given that they were able to convince Sheldon Adelson to donate another $1.5 million against medical marijuana in Florida. Normally, people don’t write big checks to a campaign unless they think the money can potentially make a difference.

Jon Walker is the author of After Legalization: Understanding the future of marijuana policy

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Jane Hamsher

Jane Hamsher

Jane is the founder of Firedoglake.com. Her work has also appeared on the Huffington Post, Alternet and The American Prospect. She’s the author of the best selling book Killer Instinct and has produced such films Natural Born Killers and Permanent Midnight. She lives in Washington DC.
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