There is a small piece of good news for Senate Democrats. In 2010, making sure Republicans took control of at least one chamber of Congress was hugely important to their base — but this year control of Congress isn’t nearly as big of a deal to regular Republicans. From Gallup:
This fits with data showing that while the Republican is base more enthusiastic about this election than the Democratic base, the size of the enthusiasm gap isn’t nearly as large as it was in 2010.
In the last midterms the Republicans had a real goal to rally behind, which was putting the breaks on President Obama, but this time they don’t. While Republicans winning a narrow majority in the Senate would further restrict Obama’s abilities, the net impact would be fairly minor. Preventing Obama from getting new big laws through Congress was a huge deal. Making it more difficult to get some nominees approved in his last year just can’t compare.