Small Majority Backs Obama’s Plan Against ISIS for Now
For the moment President Obama enjoys majority support for his plan to go after ISIS. According to a new Pew Research poll, 53 percent approve of his plan for a military campaign against Islamic militants in Iraq and Syria while 29 percent disapprove and another 19 percent are undecided.
The problem for Obama is that this support seems built on sand. The group that currently most strongly supports Obama’s plan against ISIS is regular Republicans and that is unlikely to last. Already Republican members of Congress are attacking Obama’s strategy from multiple angles. Some because it is not aggressive enough, or others based on issues with its possible execution. Most Republicans aren’t attacking him for taking action but they are already starting to picking out how he is doing it wrong.
When something goes wrong, which is almost guaranteed to happen eventually, there is a good chance Republicans will turn against Obama on this. We need to only look at Libya and the Republicans obsession with Benghazi for an example of how things could turn.
If, after weeks of the media focusing on how terrible ISIS is and a prime time sales pitch by Obama, support for this new war starts at just barely over fifty percent that should be a real warning, since that is likely to be the peak.
It is unlikely support is going to increase as we hear more stories about how difficult it will be to actually fix this civil war and our efforts begin to drag on for months.
Perhaps the most telling sign that support for this effort could start dropping quickly is how most politicians of both parties in Congress are trying to avoid being on record voting to authorize it before the election.