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GOP Leads in Three New Generic Ballot Polls

Republicans already have a strong built-in advantage this year after redistricting

Things are starting to look bad for Democrats. Three new polls all show Republicans winning the generic ballot among likely voters, a clear uptick from past trends.

If the election was held today according to the ABC/Washington Post poll 47 percent of likely voters would back a Republican and only 44 percent would vote for a Democrat. The other polls are even worse.

The CNN/ORC poll gives Republicans at 4 point advantage among likely voters.

Finally, the Fox News poll has Republicane up by an incredible 7 points among likely voters. Their poll found only 40 percent planning to back a Democrats while 47 percent plan to vote for a Republican.

This is particularly bad news for Democrats since Republicans already have a strong built-in advantage this year. After the last House redistricting Republicans were able to gerrymander to their benefit and this year many of the Senate races up for re-election are in states won by Mitt Romney.

One small silver lining for Democrats is they do noticeably better among registered voters than likely voters. If they can ever figure out a way to motivate their possible supporters to turn out that would help, but so far that is a task Democrats haven’t mastered.

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GOP Leads in Three New Generic Ballot Polls

Republicans already have a strong built-in advantage this year after redistricting

Things are starting to look bad for Democrats. Three new polls all show Republicans winning the generic ballot among likely voters, a clear uptick from past trends.

If the election was held today according to the ABC/Washington Post poll 47 percent of likely voters would back a Republican and only 44 percent would vote for a Democrat. The other polls are even worse.

The CNN/ORC poll gives Republicans at 4 point advantage among likely voters.

Finally, the Fox News poll has Republicane up by an incredible 7 points among likely voters. Their poll found only 40 percent planning to back a Democrats while 47 percent plan to vote for a Republican.

This is particularly bad news for Democrats since Republicans already have a strong built-in advantage this year. After the last House redistricting Republicans were able to gerrymander to their benefit and this year many of the Senate races up for re-election are in states won by Mitt Romney.

One small silver lining for Democrats is they do noticeably better among registered voters than likely voters. If they can ever figure out a way to motivate their possible supporters to turn out that would help, but so far that is a task Democrats haven’t mastered.

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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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