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Another Poll Shows a Close Race for Medical Marijuana in Florida

The Florida medical marijuana initiative is popular, but a win at the polls is not guaranteed.

Efforts to bring medical marijuana to Florida could turn into a real nail-biter on election day. Another poll shows Amendment 2, Florida Right to Medical Marijuana Initiative, on path to only a narrow victory.

While a new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/UF Bob Graham Center poll found that a clear majority of voters in Florida back medical marijuana, that isn’t necessarily good enough. Under Florida law for a constitutional amendment on the ballot to be adopted it needs to get over 60 percent of the vote.

If the election were held today the poll found 56.7 percent of likely voters would support Amendment 2, while 24.4 percent would vote against it, and with the rest of the electorate undecided. That is just below the threshold.

If the large undecided vote split evenly that would put Amendment 2 at around 67 percent, more than enough for it to be approved; but undecided voters often break towards the “no” side when it comes to ballot measures. Still, as long as the measure gets only a fifth of the undecided vote in this poll that would be enough for a narrow win.

At this point Amendment 2 is still favored to win but it is not guaranteed. There is a lot of time before the election and a very well financed opposition campaign.

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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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