Good News for Congressional Republicans in Generic Ballot

Congressional Vote IntentionsIn the generic Congressional ballot Republicans have a large lead according to a new Pew Research poll. If the election was held today 47 percent of voters would pick the Republican in their district while only 43 percent would choose the Democrat.

This is a complete reversal in fortunes from six months ago when Democrats had a six point advantage over the GOP.

Looking at the internal numbers things are even slightly worse for Democrats than they would appear from the top line numbers. For example, the only age group that Democrats aren’t significantly losing to Republicans is adults under the age of 30 and that age group is less likely to turnout in a mid-term election.

The poll also found that President Obama’s signature health care law hasn’t gotten any more popular after the end of open enrollment. At this point 55 percent still disapprove of the law while 41 percent approve of it.

Democrats can take some solace in the fact that this is just one poll and could potentially be an outlier. The ABC/Washington Post poll from last week actually had Democrats ahead by one point in the generic ballot. The average of all recent polls shows the country split very evenly at the moment.

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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is now living in the Washington DC area. He created a politics and policy blog, The Walker Report (