Race Tied Nationally but Obama Still Leads in Ohio
The presidential race continues to tighten at a national level. The latest NBC/WSJ poll of likely voters shows the race completely tied at 47 percent to 47 percent. This is the first time ever that their poll hasn’t found President Obama in the lead. A month ago the same poll found Obama up by three.
At least part of the reason Mitt Romney has seen his overall standing improve is that more voters now think he is the best choice for handling the economy and jobs. When it comes to who would best handle the economy Romney leads 46 percent to Obama 40 percent. Romney also has a near identical advantage on the issue of jobs. Obama still holds a big lead when it comes to several social issues, but the economy is overwhelmingly the top concern for voters.
The good news for the Obama campaign is that America doesn’t use a national popular vote to determine the winner. Instead we use an incredibly idiotic electoral college system to select our president, and a new Quinnipiac poll shows that Obama still holds a respectable lead in the critical swing state of Ohio.
According to the poll, Obama leads with 50 percent to Romney at 45 percent. This is a big drop from Obama’s 10 point lead last month but it is still a significant advantage. Among Ohioans that have already cast their vote Obama leads 54-39 percent. The Obama campaign having already banked a large share of the vote will make it that much harder for Romney to close the gap in the next two weeks.
While it is mathematically possible for Romney to win without Ohio it would be very difficult. Ohio remains Obama firewall even as nationally his lead slips.