CommunityElectionsFDL Main Blog

Race Is Tight in Michigan, North Carolina and New Hampshire

(image: Cain and Todd Benson / flickr)

It seems almost every day there are new presidential polls of swing states showing the race is tight but with the advantage for President Obama, today is no different. New Marist-NBC News polls show Obama has a small lead in Michigan and is effectively tied with Romney in North Carolina and New Hampshire.

Marist (6/24-25)
Barack Obama 47%
Mitt Romney 43%
Other 1%
Undecided 10%

North Carolina
Marist (6/24-25)
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 44%
Other 1%
Undecided 9%

New Hampshire
Marist (6/24-25)
Barack Obama 45%
Mitt Romney 45%
Other 1%
Undecided 8%

The fact that the race is tight in North Carolina is expected, but I was surprised to see the poll showing the race in New Hampshire completely tied.

Back in 2008 Obama actually won the state by a respectable 54.1% to 44.5%. It was one of his strongest “swing states” that year. He preformed better in New Hampshire than he did in other swing states like Virgina, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Colorado. I would find it rather surprising to see Obama lose New Hampshire but win North Carolina.

On the question of who would be better able to handle the economy, voters in these three states are split almost perfectly down the middle, tied. That is relatively good news for the Obama campaign. The economy is basically the core of the Romney message, so if he is not clearly winning on that issue, he doesn’t have much else going for him.

Previous post

The SCOTUS Health Insurance Decision Misses the Point...

Next post

Non-Trivial Number of Poor People Would Be Ineligible for Insurance Subsidies if Their State Denies Medicaid Expansion

Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at