CommunityElections

Obama Holds Small Three Point Lead

The latest horse race polling shows the election remains incredibly close with President Obama holding just a three point lead over Republican Mitt Romney. According to the new Washington Post/ABC News poll of registered voters the race currently stands at Obama with 49 percent and Romney 46 percent.

The good news for the Obama campaign is that his supporters are significantly more enthusiastic. Half of the registered voters who plan to vote for Obama say they are “very enthusiastic” about supporting him. On the other hand, only a quarter of Romney supporters are “very enthusiastic” about casting their ballots for him.

The bad news for the Obama campaign is that the economy continues to be the number one issue for voters. On that issue Obama currently gets very poor marks. Only 42 percent of Americans approve of Obama’s handling of the economy, while 55 percent disapprove. Despite Obama having very bad numbers on the economy, however, Mitt Romney has failed to get real traction on the issue. Registered voters are perfectly split — 47 to 47 — on which candidate they trust to do a better job of handling the economy.

This is probably why you see the Obama campaign really attacking Romney on the issue of Bain Capital, trying to depict it as vulture capitalism. With the economy still in very poor shape, Obama probably can’t convince people that he did a great job with it.  But his campaign can at least try to stop voters from thinking Romney would be better on the issue. So far they seem to be succeeding on that front.

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – registered voters

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
5/20/12  RV   49       46        *         3          1           1
4/8/12   RV   51       44        *         2          3           1
3/10/12  RV   47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV   51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV   46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV   47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV   46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV   46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV   45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV   49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV   46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   49       45        *         3          1           1

 

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Obama Holds Small Three Point Lead

It's the economy (photo: Johnny Grim via Flickr)

The latest horse race polling shows the election remains incredibly close with President Obama holding just a three point lead over Republican Mitt Romney. According to the new Washington Post/ABC News poll of registered voters the race currently stands at Obama with 49 percent and Romney 46 percent.

The good news for the Obama campaign is that his supporters are significantly more enthusiastic. Half of the registered voters who plan to vote for Obama say they are “very enthusiastic” about supporting him. On the other hand, only a quarter of Romney supporters are “very enthusiastic” about casting their ballots for him.

The bad news for the Obama campaign is that the economy continues to be the number one issue for voters. On that issue Obama currently gets very poor marks. Only 42 percent of Americans approve of Obama’s handling of the economy, while 55 percent disapprove. Despite Obama having very bad numbers on the economy, however, Mitt Romney has failed to get real traction on the issue. Registered voters are perfectly split — 47 to 47 — on which candidate they trust to do a better job of handling the economy.

This is probably why you see the Obama campaign really attacking Romney on the issue of Bain Capital, trying to depict it as vulture capitalism. With the economy still in very poor shape, Obama probably can’t convince people that he did a great job with it.  But his campaign can at least try to stop voters from thinking Romney would be better on the issue. So far they seem to be succeeding on that front.

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE – registered voters

                              Other    Neither    Would not      No
             Obama   Romney   (vol.)    (vol.)   vote (vol.)   opinion
5/20/12  RV   49       46        *         3          1           1
4/8/12   RV   51       44        *         2          3           1
3/10/12  RV   47       49        *         1          2           2
2/4/12   RV   51       45        *         1          1           1
1/15/12  RV   46       48        *         2          2           2
12/18/11 RV   47       47        *         2          2           1
11/3/11  RV   46       47        *         3          2           1
10/2/11  RV   46       48        *         2          1           2
9/1/11   RV   45       49        *         2          2           2
7/17/11  RV   49       47        *         2          1           1
6/5/11   RV   46       49        *         2          1           2
4/17/11  RV   49       45        *         3          1           1
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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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