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Republican Base Slowly Moves to Support Romney

Slowly and reluctantly the Republican base is finally starting to line up behind Mitt Romney now that he is almost assured to (eventually) get the nomination. According to a Gallup daily tracking poll of the primary, Romney now has the support of 40% of the base, his highest level of support yet. From Gallup:

Preferences for Republican Presidential Nominee, March 2012

Since there remains a sizable anti-Romney vote in the remaining very conservative states, Romney is going to continue losing some primaries to Rick Santorum in places like Louisiana. At this point, though, it appears the sense of inevitability about Romney has finally reached a tipping point. Romney losses in Alabama and Mississippi barely hurt his numbers. It seems the base is starting to accept that fact that Romney will likely be their nominee, so they should support him.

The appearance of inevitability can become a self-fulfilling cycle. As more people decide they should back the likely winner, that makes the candidate appear even more inevitable, in turn convincing other voters they need to jump on board the bandwagon.

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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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