Following his triple win, last week Rick Santorum surged into a clear lead in the Michigan primary.  But over the past few days Mitt Romney has managed to recover some of his lost ground. According to two new polls of the state Romney has made substantial gains on Santorum’s lead and may even be ahead.

According to PPP Romney went from being down by 15 the previous week to down by only four this weekend. From PPP:

The Republican race for President in Michigan has tightened considerably over the last week, with what was a 15 point lead for Rick Santorum down to 4. He leads with 37% to 33% for Mitt Romney, 15% for Ron Paul, and 10% for Newt Gingrich.

The tightening over the last week is much more a function of Romney gaining than Santorum falling. Santorum’s favorability spread of 67/23 has seen no change since our last poll, and his share of the vote has dropped only 2 points from 39% to 37%. Romney meanwhile has seen his net favorability improve 10 points from +10 (49/39) to +20 (55/35) and his vote share go from 24% to 33%.

The Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll also found Romney improving by double digits. According to that poll Romney now leads by 2 points, having been down by 10 points last week. From Mitchell Research:

Mitt Romney has regained the lead in a Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service). The two front runners are now in a statistical dead heat with Romney (32%) having a 2% lead over Rick Santorum (30%) while Newt Gingrich (9%) and Ron Paul (7%) are far behind in a trial Republican presidential ballot test. About one in five voters remain undecided (22%). Eight days ago, Santorum had a 9% lead and twelve days before that Romney led by 15% in a topsyturvy race.

It again looks like we are seeing Romney’s huge fundraising advantage coming into play. The Romney campaign and pro-Romney SuperPAC have been able to flood Michigan with advertising in a way the Santorum campaign cannot match.  While this big spending strategy proved successful in Florida and appears to be working in Michigan, it does came at a literal cost.  The Romney campaign has been burning through cash at an incredible rate recently.

Mitt Romney narrows Santorum's Michigan lead (photo: Gage Skidmore)

Following his triple win, last week Rick Santorum surged into a clear lead in the Michigan primary.  But over the past few days Mitt Romney has managed to recover some of his lost ground. According to two new polls of the state Romney has made substantial gains on Santorum’s lead and may even be ahead.

According to PPP Romney went from being down by 15 the previous week to down by only four this weekend. From PPP:

The Republican race for President in Michigan has tightened considerably over the last week, with what was a 15 point lead for Rick Santorum down to 4. He leads with 37% to 33% for Mitt Romney, 15% for Ron Paul, and 10% for Newt Gingrich.

The tightening over the last week is much more a function of Romney gaining than Santorum falling. Santorum’s favorability spread of 67/23 has seen no change since our last poll, and his share of the vote has dropped only 2 points from 39% to 37%. Romney meanwhile has seen his net favorability improve 10 points from +10 (49/39) to +20 (55/35) and his vote share go from 24% to 33%.

The Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll also found Romney improving by double digits. According to that poll Romney now leads by 2 points, having been down by 10 points last week. From Mitchell Research:

Mitt Romney has regained the lead in a Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service). The two front runners are now in a statistical dead heat with Romney (32%) having a 2% lead over Rick Santorum (30%) while Newt Gingrich (9%) and Ron Paul (7%) are far behind in a trial Republican presidential ballot test. About one in five voters remain undecided (22%). Eight days ago, Santorum had a 9% lead and twelve days before that Romney led by 15% in a topsyturvy race.

It again looks like we are seeing Romney’s huge fundraising advantage coming into play. The Romney campaign and pro-Romney SuperPAC have been able to flood Michigan with advertising in a way the Santorum campaign cannot match.  While this big spending strategy proved successful in Florida and appears to be working in Michigan, it does came at a literal cost.  The Romney campaign has been burning through cash at an incredible rate recently.

Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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