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Multiple New Polls Find Santorum Leading in Michigan

Rick Santorum currently holds a solid lead in the upcoming Michigan primary according to four recent polls of the state. In the polls, the  Santorum lead over Mitt Romney ranges from 3-10 points.

From the Detroit News poll:

Santorum leads Romney 34 percent to 30.4 percent among likely Republican primary voters, but the gap is within the margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich had support from 11.6 percent of respondents, former U.S. Rep. Ron Paul had 8.9 percent and 12.4 percent was undecided.

From the Mitchell/Rosetta Stone poll:

Rick Santorum has jumped into the lead in a Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service). Santorum (34%) has a 9% lead over Mitt Romney (25%) while Ron Paul (11%) and Newt Gingrich (5%) are far behind in a trial Republican presidential ballot test. A quarter of the voters remain undecided (25%). Just twelve days ago, before Santorums victories in Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado on February 7th, Romney (31%) held a 15% lead over Newt Gingrich (16%) with Santorum (15%) and Paul (15%) right behind. Four percent said they were voting for someone else and 19% were undecided in the earlier survey.

From Rasmussen Reports:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Michigan shows Santorum with 35% of the vote to Romney’s 32%. Well behind are Texas Congressman Ron Paul with 13% and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 11%. Only one percent (1%) prefers some other candidate in the race, while eight percent (8%) are undecided.

From Inside Michigan Politics/MRG poll:

In the presidential primary ballot test, Santorum received 43 percent to Romney’s 33 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich at 11 percent, and Ron Paul at 8 percent.

A loss in the Michigan primary for Romney would be a real setback for his campaign and a significant embarrassment given that it is one of Romney’s home states. Santorum is still riding high off his triple win earlier this month. The primaries in Michigan and Arizona on February 28th are probably Romney’s best chance to stop Santorum’s momentum before Super Tuesday. If Santorum does win Michigan and can carry that momentum into a decent showing on Super Tuesday, the nomination fight would probably continue for months.

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Multiple New Polls All Find Santorum Leading in Michigan

(photo: markn3tel/flickr)

Rick Santorum currently holds a solid lead in the upcoming Michigan primary according to four recent polls of the state. In the polls, the Santorum lead over Mitt Romney ranges from 3-10 points. From the Detroit News poll:

Santorum leads Romney 34 percent to 30.4 percent among likely Republican primary voters, but the gap is within the margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich had support from 11.6 percent of respondents, former U.S. Rep. Ron Paul had 8.9 percent and 12.4 percent was undecided.

From the Mitchell/Rosetta Stone poll:

Rick Santorum has jumped into the lead in a Mitchell/Rosetta Stone Poll of Michigan conducted for MIRS (Michigan Information & Research Service). Santorum (34%) has a 9% lead over Mitt Romney (25%) while Ron Paul (11%) and Newt Gingrich (5%) are far behind in a trial Republican presidential ballot test. A quarter of the voters remain undecided (25%). Just twelve days ago, before Santorums victories in Minnesota, Missouri, and Colorado on February 7th, Romney (31%) held a 15% lead over Newt Gingrich (16%) with Santorum (15%) and Paul (15%) right behind. Four percent said they were voting for someone else and 19% were undecided in the earlier survey.

From Rasmussen Reports:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Michigan shows Santorum with 35% of the vote to Romney’s 32%. Well behind are Texas Congressman Ron Paul with 13% and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 11%. Only one percent (1%) prefers some other candidate in the race, while eight percent (8%) are undecided.

From Inside Michigan Politics/MRG poll:

In the presidential primary ballot test, Santorum received 43 percent to Romney’s 33 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich at 11 percent, and Ron Paul at 8 percent.

A loss in the Michigan primary for Romney would be a real setback for his campaign and a significant embarrassment given that it is one of Romney’s home states. Santorum is still riding high off his triple win earlier this month. The primaries in Michigan and Arizona on February 28th are probably Romney’s best chance to stop Santorum’s momentum before Super Tuesday. If Santorum does win Michigan and can carry that momentum into a decent showing on Super Tuesday, the nomination fight would probably continue for months.

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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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