Rick Santorum’s surprise triple win last week in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri has proven to be an amazing shot in the arm to his campaign. His polling numbers have skyrocketed both nationally and in the upcoming primary states.

In Gallup’s daily tracking poll Santorum’s support jumped from 16 percent before those three events to 27 percent yesterday. Similarly Santorum is surging in Michigan, where according to PPP he now holds a 15 point lead over Mitt Romney. From PPP:

Rick Santorum’s taken a large lead in Michigan’s upcoming Republican primary. He’s at 39% to 24% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Ron Paul, and 11% for Newt Gingrich.

Santorum’s rise is attributable to two major factors: his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability) and GOP voters increasingly souring on Gingrich.  Santorum’s becoming something closer and closer to a consensus conservative candidate as Gingrich bleeds support.

Santorum’s winning an outright majority of the Tea Party vote with 53% to 22% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich. He comes close to one with Evangelicals as well at 48% to 20% for Romney and 12% for Gingrich. And he cracks the 50% line with voters identifying as ‘very conservative’ at 51% to 20% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich.

In 2008 Mitt Romney won Michigan with 39 percent, beating John McCain’s 30 percent. A Romney loss in Michigan at the end of the month would prove very embarrassing to the Romney campaign and cause him to struggle to regain momentum before Super Tuesday.

Of course two weeks is an eternity in this crazy GOP primary, which has been characterized by rapid erratic swings. Plenty could change before the 28th.  This is a solid start for Santorum in Michigan, but what is important is how well his lead holds up once the much better funded Romney campaign and associated SuperPACs start flooding the state with campaign ads.

Rick Santorum's recent wins help give him a lead in Michigan

Rick Santorum’s surprise triple win last week in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri has proven to be an amazing shot in the arm to his campaign. His polling numbers have skyrocketed both nationally and in the upcoming primary states.

In Gallup’s daily tracking poll Santorum’s support jumped from 16 percent before those three events to 27 percent yesterday. Similarly Santorum is surging in Michigan, where according to PPP he now holds a 15 point lead over Mitt Romney. From PPP:

Rick Santorum’s taken a large lead in Michigan’s upcoming Republican primary. He’s at 39% to 24% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Ron Paul, and 11% for Newt Gingrich.

Santorum’s rise is attributable to two major factors: his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability) and GOP voters increasingly souring on Gingrich.  Santorum’s becoming something closer and closer to a consensus conservative candidate as Gingrich bleeds support.

Santorum’s winning an outright majority of the Tea Party vote with 53% to 22% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich. He comes close to one with Evangelicals as well at 48% to 20% for Romney and 12% for Gingrich. And he cracks the 50% line with voters identifying as ‘very conservative’ at 51% to 20% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich.

In 2008 Mitt Romney won Michigan with 39 percent, beating John McCain’s 30 percent. A Romney loss in Michigan at the end of the month would prove very embarrassing to the Romney campaign and cause him to struggle to regain momentum before Super Tuesday.

Of course two weeks is an eternity in this crazy GOP primary, which has been characterized by rapid erratic swings. Plenty could change before the 28th.  This is a solid start for Santorum in Michigan, but what is important is how well his lead holds up once the much better funded Romney campaign and associated SuperPACs start flooding the state with campaign ads.

Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at http://pendinghorizon.com

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