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GOP Base Sees Gingrich as Most Electable

Among potential Republican primary voters, not only does Newt Gingrich have a big lead, he is also seen as having the best chance of beating President Obama according to Pew polling. The poll has Gingrich leading on that question, 35 percent to Romney’s 21 percent, with all other candidates below 10 percent.

As Gingrich has moved into the lead for the GOP nomination, he also is increasingly viewed as having the best chance of any Republican to defeat Barack Obama. Currently, 35% of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters say that Gingrich has the best chance of beating Obama next November, up from just 13% a month ago.

Nearly three-in-ten (28%) say Romney has the best chance of beating Obama, which is little changed from a month ago. Very few Republican and Republican-leaning voters think any other GOP candidate has the best chance of defeating Obama.

That’s pure bad news for Romney. Electability has been one of his best arguments, yet the GOP base doesn’t see him as standing as good a chance as Newt Gingrich.

I consider this to be a rather serious failing on the part of the Romney campaign. While some recent polling has found Romney’s electoral advantage over Gingrich is small, the vast majority of polls for the past six months have indicated Romney does the best of any of the candidates in the general election. Despite a plethora of polls, the Romney campaign still hasn’t managed to communicate and/or get the Republican base to believe this rather basic fact.


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Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at