PPP: Romney Out Performs Perry in the General Election
The first PPP general election poll involving Rick Perry found that he is currently losing to President Obama by 6 points, while on the other hand Mitt Romney is tied with Obama. From Tom Jensen:
In our first national poll pitting the two Obama leads Perry 49-43. That six point advantage is pretty comparable to Obama’s margin of victory over John McCain. Perry has certainly come on strong with Republicans but independents view him negatively already by an almost 2:1 margin, 29/55, and Democrats pretty universally give him bad ratings at a 10/71 spread. As a result Obama leads Perry thanks in large part to a 24 point advantage with independents at 56-32.
It’s a different story for Obama when it comes to the match up against Romney. There he can only achieve a tie at 45%, and because there are a lot more undecided Republicans than Democrats in all likelihood Romney would come out ahead if voters had to go to the polls and really make a decision today. Romney does better than Perry because he holds Obama to only a 9 point advantage with independents, 48-39, and because he loses only 5% of the Republican vote to Obama where Perry loses 10%.
PPP’s findings differ noticeably from Gallup’s poll earlier this week which found that Perry and Romney doing basically equally as well against Obama..
The Romney campaign is going to need to hope that most of the general election polls going forwards are more like PPP’s findings instead of Gallup’s. Being able to tell Republican primary voters you are the best and possibly only shot at beating Obama could be a strong selling point for Romney, but that message doesn’t work if other candidates are polling basically as well in the general.