VA-05: Tom Perriello Trails GOP Challenger by Wide Margin

Freshmen Democratic Rep. Tom Perriello (VA-05) is in real danger of losing his seat according to a new SurveyUSA poll of likely voters. The poll has Republican challenger Robert Hurt aheada by double digits:

SurveyUSA (7/16-19)
Robert Hurt (R) 58
Tom Perriello (D) 35
Jeffery Clark (I) 4
Undecided 3

Perriello was always expected to have a very tough re-election campaign. True, Virginia’s 5th is a traditionally Republican-leaning district–Perriello barely won in 2008, a Democratic surge year, beating incumbent Virgil Goode by less than 800 votes, and that was with Obama helping to increase Democratic turnout in the state–but I doubt most political people thought the frosh Representative would be in this poor shape at this point. A challenger to be polling well over 50 percent is a very bad sign for Perriello.

Taking an anti-abortion stand and a supporting the Stupak amendment during the health care debate seems to have done basically nothing to help Perriello with pro-life voters. He wins only 18 percent of that group while Hurt nets 77 percent.

Not surprisingly, when faced with very bad poll numbers, the Perriello campaign chose the time-honored tactic of attacking the pollster, saying “SurveyUSA’s polls are useless.” It should be noted, however, that Nate Silver Ranks SurveyUSA as third most reliable among major polling organizations.

Previous post

Right-Wingers Compare Shirley Sherrod to Rush Limbaugh and Trent Lott

Next post

580 CHP Assassin Was Headed to ACLU, Tides Center. Why Tides?

Jon Walker

Jon Walker

Jonathan Walker grew up in New Jersey. He graduated from Wesleyan University in 2006. He is an expert on politics, health care and drug policy. He is also the author of After Legalization and Cobalt Slave, and a Futurist writer at