Horse Race Follies, Monday May 3 2010
. James Traficant says he will file later today to run as an independent against either Tim Ryan (D, OH-17) or Charlie Wilson (D, OH-06). Ryan’s district has a PVI of D+12 while Wilson’s is R+2. I guess everyone needs a hobby.
. Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio plans to announce on Monday if he’ll run for Governor or Arizona. Arizona law would require him to resign immediately as sherriff.
. The NRCC will dump another $250,000 against Mark Critz in PA-12. Who could’ve predicted that a guy with ties to Murtha’s ethics investigation would have problems at a time like this? Oh right, Barbara Hafer — who was criticized for “attacking Murtha’s legacy” for bringing it up when the DCCC was trying to run her out of the race. (h/t Swing State)
. After the Dems tried to cut off her fundraising and run her out of the race, Jennifer Brunner says she won’t support Lee Fisher if he wins and she loses in the Democratic primary. Fisher leads Brunner by 41 to 24 in the latest Quinnipiac poll, though Brunner does slightly better than Fisher against Republican Rob Portman. It’s within the margin of error, howerver, and the Kos poll finds the reverse. Both polls show Brunner with stronger favorables than Portman.
. Surprise, surprise: Latest poll from the Honolulu Advertiser finds Republican Charles Djou is leading Democrats Colleen Hanabusa and Ed Case in a winner-take-all race to fill Neil Abercrombie’s seat (Djou 36, Case 28 and Hanabusa 22). Far from being the result of some GOP master plan, Djou is only leading in a D+11 district because the DCCC tried to run Hanabusa out of the race and came in on Case’s side when he decided to jump into a race that she was clearly winning.