Looks like we don’t have to wait until tonight to see the full outline of the latest and greatest plan…Olympia Snowe already dislikes almost every provision and it seems there’s very little chance of getting her vote. That means the compromise is dead, because although Lieberman sounds like he could be convinced to accept the proposal, Nelson’s need to change the abortion language (along with many other provisions) has made most Democrats all but give up on his vote.

So, no 60 votes, the OPM plan is now dead, and we’re back to square one. At this point it seems extremely unlikely that any other plan will get 60 votes, so we move on to the reconciliation phase. Rather than go back to the opt-out option/Cadillac plan tax that’s still nominally in Reid’s bill, I hope Democrats will take a step back and realize that with the new target being 50 votes, they have a lot more leverage to strengthen it – to at least the House version, if not stronger.

mikesong

mikesong

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