As Obama’s electoral prospects improve, somehow I get bleaker and bleaker on Crappy Hour with Megan Carpentier. Consider this a part-two to yesterday’s race-filled worry machine:

SPENCER: Sure sure sure it’s just that these tensions have been widely predicted to lead to the Fall Of The House Of Reagan — cf "The Conservative Crackup," The American Prospect, Fall 1990 — since before we were in junior high. I’m just saying I’ll believe it when I see it happen, and I’ve lost all predictive capability for when it’ll occur. There’s something to the idea that the GOP’s electoral success is predicated on the idea that it picked really strong currents in the American body politic to serve as the basis for its admittedly-idiosyncratic coalition, but the mortar here — the mayonnaise in the egg salad, since we’re scrambling metaphors — is RACE. And it seems most likely to crack when the mortar loses its adhesive qualities, and I want to believe extremely badly that that will occur in a month, but my life is predicated on the sturdy principal that hopelessness is a better bet than hope, but fuck it, right?

MEGAN: Well, geneticists have been saying for years that there is more variation within so-called races than between them. It looks like the same might be true with politics this year, at least for one race.

Spencer Ackerman

Spencer Ackerman